Super El Niño September weather and hurricane odds
Jonathan  Belles
ByJonathan BellesandTatum Fry
August 28, 2026Updated: August 28, 2026, 2:35 pm EDTPublished: August 28, 2026, 2:02 pm EDT

September's weather can be steered by a strengthening super El Niño, favoring heat in the Southern Plains and Northeast and a cooler, wetter West. Iowa and much of the Midwest trend wetter, while Texas, Florida and New England often wait until later in the year for their rain. Atlantic hurricane activity usually backs off, though a tropical storm can't be ruled out.

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