MONSOON

Monsoon Fury: Himachal, Punjab, Delhi, UP, Rajasthan in for Heavy Rains This Week; Uttarakhand on Red Alert!

3-Day rainfall accumulation from Tuesday to Friday morning.
(TWC met team)

Tuesday, July 2: Last week's onset of the monsoon over parts of Northwest India has severe consequences in Delhi and Uttarakhand. In the national capital, heavy rainfall has unleashed chaos, flooding streets and tragically claiming 11 lives, including four children, in separate incidents. The situation was exacerbated by the malfunctioning of around 300 drain pumps, severely hampering efforts to manage the deluge.

Similarly, in Haridwar, Uttarakhand, heavy rain swelled up the usually dry Sukhi river, washing away numerous parked cars and flooding homes and major roads.

Monsoon forecast for Northwest India

Now, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast the southwest monsoon's further advance into Rajasthan, Haryana, and Punjab over the next two to three days. Meanwhile, a trough extending from Punjab to Mizoram will bring widespread light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms, and lightning over the region during the next five days.

Isolated heavy rainfall is expected over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad on July 2, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, and East Rajasthan from July 2-5, and in West Rajasthan on July 5. Additionally, isolated very heavy rainfall is likely over Himachal Pradesh on July 2, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh on July 2-3, and East Rajasthan from July 3-5. Uttarakhand can also expect isolated extremely heavy rainfall on July 2.

In response to these forecasts, the IMD has issued alerts:

July 2: A red warning for Uttarakhand and an orange alert for Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh.
July 3: An orange alert continues for Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh.
July 4-6: Uttarakhand and East Rajasthan remain under an orange alert.

Except for East Rajasthan and Western Uttar Pradesh, the entire region experienced deficient rainfall last month. Western Uttar Pradesh was the most affected, receiving only 8.5 mm of precipitation, which represents a 78% shortfall. Himachal Pradesh followed closely with 53.9 mm of rainfall (49% shortfall), Punjab with 30.8 mm (47% shortfall), Uttarakhand with 105.8 mm (43% shortfall), East Uttar Pradesh with 65.5 mm (42% shortfall), Delhi-Haryana-Chandigarh with 37.7 mm (36% shortfall), Jammu-Kashmir with 52 mm (35% shortfall), and West Rajasthan with 32.8 mm (21% shortfall).

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