Fall Temperatures Expected to Trend Cooler in the East and Warmer in the West | Weather.com
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USA National Forecast

Temperature changes will occur from coast-to-coast through the fall months.

ByChris DolceAugust 15, 2019

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Fall is expected to begin with warmer-than-average temperatures in the East, but a cooler trend might develop later in the season. The West could see the opposite as the odds of above-average temperatures increase in much of region by late fall.

The September through November fall period as a whole is forecast to have temperatures near or slightly below average in the Midwest and Great Lakes, while most other areas see near- or above-average temperatures, according to the latest outlook from The Weather Company, an IBM Business. But that three-month outlook doesn't fully illustrate some interesting changes when we examine the fall forecast on a month-by-month basis.

Fall is expected to begin with above-average temperatures dominating the East Coast in September. This would be the second consecutive warmer than average September in the East. A year ago, the Northeast and Southeast regions had their third hottest September on record.

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The best chance for a cooler-than-average start to fall is in parts of the northern and central Rockies as well as the adjacent Plains.

Changes begin to appear in October as much of the Midwest and East see temperatures near or slightly below average. The greatest chance of below-average temperatures will be in the Great Lakes region.

Warmer-than-average temperatures are most likely to occur in the Northwest during October.

November's forecast is shaping up to be similar to October with the greatest chance of near to slightly below-average temperatures in much of the Midwest and East.

Above-average temperatures are forecast to become more expansive in the West. California, Arizona, much of Nevada, southern Utah and western New Mexico could see temperatures the furthest above average in November.


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