July Fourth 2025 Holiday Weekend Weather Forecast: Storms, Summertime Heat Could Factor Into Plans

Goats Hit The Slopes In Vermont

Weather for the Fourth of July holiday weekend will feature many of summertime's staples: storms, heat, humidity and even an area to watch for possible tropical development.

Whether you are traveling, planning outdoor activities or watching fireworks, here's a look at who might have to contend with wet weather, where it's likely to stay dry and how temperatures are shaping up through Sunday.

Where Rain, Storms Could Be A Threat

• Northeast: High pressure will keep much of the Northeast dry for the three-day weekend. Areas along the Interstate 95 corridor from Boston to New York and Washington, D.C., shouldn't have to worry about rain interrupting fireworks shows and/or trips to the beach or pool this year.
• South: Showers and storms will blanket Florida while also spreading to southeast Georgia and the eastern Carolinas through the weekend. This is in association with an area of disturbed weather that has become Tropical Depression Three. Rip currents could also be a danger along the Southeast Coast, so be sure to check local beach warnings.

• Plains, Midwest: On Saturday, the zone of storm chances along the front stretches from the upper Mississippi Valley and western Great Lakes southwestward into Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas. The front will lose strength on Sunday, but could still produce pockets of storms from the Great Lakes into parts of Missouri and Kansas.
• West: Montana may see showers Saturday, but most other areas will be dry. On Sunday, scattered storms could impact the Front Range and adjacent High Plains, including Denver.

Temperature Forecast

• Northeast: The Fourth of July will be the least hot day and humidity will stay low, with highs ranging from the 70s in New England to mid-80s in the mid-Atlantic. Over the weekend, it will grow increasingly hot and humid. Most areas will top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s by Sunday, or about 5 to 15 degrees above average.
• South: Summer will be in full session. Highs in the 90s with plenty of humidity will be commonplace from Texas to Georgia and Tennessee all weekend, so be sure to take heat precautions as you normally would this time of year. The wet pattern in the Florida Peninsula and coastal Carolinas will keep temperatures nudged down a bit into the 80s this weekend.
• Midwest, Plains: Areas from Kansas and Oklahoma to the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes will see plenty of summertime heat and humidity, topping out in the upper 80s and 90s all weekend, including in Detroit and St. Louis. The Northern Plains and upper Midwest will be hottest Friday, with a drop in temperatures expected this weekend.
• West: Highs won't deviate too far from average across the entire region. Typical triple-digit heat is expected in the Desert Southwest. The Northwest and Great Basin will see temperatures increase through the weekend.

Chris Dolce has been a senior digital meteorologist with weather.com for 15 years after beginning his career with The Weather Channel in the early 2000s.