Fall Outlook: September Through November | Weather.com
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The fall outlook calls for above-average temperatures for much of the West, while the rain-soaked South might get a break in the next few months.

Jennifer Gray
ByJennifer Gray16 hours ago

Ready For Fall? Here’s Your Temperature Outlook

For those of you who are weary of the heat and ready for the crisp fall air and pumpkin everything, I don’t blame you.

As the calendar turns to fall in the coming weeks (meteorological fall begins on Sept. 1), we will be searching for cooler temperatures and beautiful fall colors.

But we also know that Mother Nature has a mind of her own, and just because the calendar says one thing, it doesn’t mean the temperatures will cooperate.

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West Stays Warm

The latest three-month outlook from The Weather Company and Atmospheric G2 is fresh off the press and it’s signaling to pump the brakes for those of you ready for fall.

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-Summerlike Vibes Remain For Many: According to the three-month outlook, warmer than average temperatures are going to hang on for September, October and November. This is especially true for the Four Corners region and into the Central and Northern Rockies.

-When Will The Relief Come? For those of you who have been sweating it out in the Midwest and Northeast this August, you seem to stay above normal for much of September and October before finally cooling by November.

-Where’s The Chill? While there’s no blue on the map (which would signal areas expected to experience temperatures below average), we do see some neutral ground. Areas east of the Rockies, including the Southeast, mid-Atlantic and Northeast, are expected to stay close to average temperature-wise for the next three months.

How Will Rain Impact The Fall Months?

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We know that extreme rainfall has been a theme for much of the summer, with some resulting in catastrophe.

-Soaked South: The South is expected to remain soggy through September, then taper off the rest of the season.

However, the huge caveat to this is hurricane season. If a tropical system comes onshore, this can have a major impact on where we see extreme rainfall.

-Three-Month Outlook: Interestingly, the forecast for the next several months is neutral for much of the country, with the exception being Florida and the Pacific Northwest.

Jennifer Gray is a weather and climate writer for weather.com. She has been covering some of the world's biggest weather and climate stories for the last two decades.