Cutoff Low, Responsible For Flooding in the Midwest and Southeast, Is Mesmerizing in Satellite Imagery | Weather.com
Advertisement
Advertisement

Cutoff Low, Responsible For Flooding in the Midwest and Southeast, Is Mesmerizing in Satellite Imagery

This water vapor satellite loop shows the progression of the Midwest to East 'cutoff low' from May 16 to 20, 2020. More-moist air is shown by the brighter white and purple areas. Drier air is shown by the darker orange and red areas.

A slow-moving low pressure system known as a cutoff low, responsible for triggering significant flooding in parts of the Midwest and Southeast, has taken on a spectacular presentation in satellite and other meteorological imagery during its multi-day journey.

Satellite imagery tuned to detect water vapor in the upper-levels of the atmosphere helps meteorologists pick out subtle features that can influence weather at the ground. There was nothing subtle about this cutoff low.

It swept into the Plains and Midwest last weekend, slowed and dropped south-southeast into the mid-Mississippi Valley by Tuesday. By that time, the low wrapped dry air in its circulation and had moist air surrounding it, noted Stu Ostro, senior meteorologist The Weather Channel at and long-time weather image guru.

By Wednesday, as the low settled into the Southeast, its diameter was about 900 miles. Its moisture stretched from the coast of Virginia and North Carolina westward to Missouri and Arkansas and from Lower Michigan nearly to the Gulf Coast.

This water vapor image taken on May 20, 2020, shows upper-level moisture - in gray, white and pink colors - stretched roughly 900 miles across.

The low is expected to exit off the East Coast by Saturday, about a week after developing in the northern Plains.

(MORE: Why Weather Moves Slower This Time of Year)

Some meteorologists describe the large lows as cinnamon rolls as strips of dry air and more moist air become entwined in its circulation.

The first reply to the NOAA tweet below, also a water vapor loop but with a different table of colors, suggest it resembled the NFL's Los Angeles Rams helmet.

Before it developed, the forecast of this large low pressure gyre had the attention of meteorologists.

It's called a cutoff low because it became detached from the jet stream that would otherwise continue steering it east.

Advertisement

In this case, the jet stream bulged so far north into Canada that it left this spiraling low loafing and lollygagging behind.

The loop below from the European forecast model over the same time period (May 16-20) shows the northward bulge in the jet stream – indicated by dark maroon colors working into the upper Midwest –almost acting like a wave splashing over the cutoff low and trapping it.

The European model forecast of the upper-level wind pattern from May 16-20, 2020 indicated the jet stream bulging north into Canada, leaving behind a low, cutoff from the jet stream over the Midwest and Southeast. Arrows indicate the general wind flow in the upper atmosphere.

As this cutoff low was gyrating, Tropical Storm Arthur was brushing the Outer Banks of North Carolina on Monday. This fascinating combination of visible satellite imagery with lightning flashes detected by the GOES-East geostationary lightning mapper showed thunderstorms associated with both systems.

And their juxtaposition on water vapor imagery was even more fascinating Tuesday. The cutoff low resembled a black left eye, flanked by the fizzling Arthur acting like a right eye, with the two split by an elephant trunk-shaped moisture plume from the Caribbean Sea.

Given the cutoff low's slow movement, parts of the Midwest were under a blanket of clouds for several days in a row, as these high-resolution visible satellite images taken Sunday through Tuesday showed.

Visible satellite images from GOES-East each taken just after 4 p.m. CDT on May 17, 18 and 19, 2020 illustrating the persistence of cloud cover over the Midwest from the cutoff low.
(NOAA/CIRA/RAMMB)

Slow-moving weather systems often produce prodigious precipitation, either rain or snow.

Here is a radar loop from Saturday through Wednesday, showing the progression of rain from this cutoff low.

Radar loop from May 16-20, 2020, showing areas of rain, locally heavy in some areas, from the cutoff low.

This cutoff low triggered major flash flooding in Chicago and set May rain record there. The rain overwhelmed a pair of dams in Michigan and triggered other flooding in parts of Kentucky, Ohio, Wisconsin, the Carolinas and Virginia.

(WEATHER RECAP/FORECAST: Slow-Moving Low Brings Flooding)

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

Advertisement