Texas, Oklahoma Flood Threat Continues | Weather.com
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Texas, Oklahoma Flood Threat Continues, Despite Ongoing Drought

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Don't Underestimate The Power Of Water

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More flooding rain is possible in parts of Texas and Oklahoma through Monday, despite parts of the Plains being in extreme drought.

Rainfall is ongoing and has caused localized flooding. Showers and thunderstorms are spreading across parts of the Southern Plains, as depicted in the radar map below.

The heavy rain contributed to flooding in central Texas on Saturday morning. Floodwaters swamped vehicles in the San Antonio metro area, according to a National Weather Service report.

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We expect the heaviest additional rainfall totals from the lower Rio Grande Valley into central and northwestern Texas and parts of Oklahoma.

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(This a general forecast showing where the heaviest rain may fall in the time period specified. Heavier amounts may occur where bands of rain or thunderstorms stall over an area for an hour or more.)

Isn't some of this rain beneficial for the drought? There is a long-term drought in place over much of the Great Plains, particularly from Texas to Nebraska. In some of these areas – from northern Oklahoma into Kansas, for example – this rain may not be heavy enough to trigger flooding, but rather soak into the ground, providing much-needed drought relief.

H​owever, for west-central and central Texas, heavy rain falling on drought-hardened ground may run off more than soak in, leading to flash flooding.

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Current Drought Status
(This map shows where drought is right now, color-coded by severity. (Data source: NOAA, NDMC, USDA))
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W​hy is there a flood threat all of a sudden? The culprit for this soaked scenario is a clogged atmosphere. Specifically, low pressure will move very slowly westward from the Desert Southwest to the West Coast. The low's sluggish movement is because it will be trapped to the south of a dome of high pressure responsible for a Pacific Northwest heat wave.

S​outherly winds to the east of that low will pull deep tropical moisture into the Southern Plains. And because the winds steering the bands of rain and thunderstorms will be weak, they'll move slowly. When precipitation moves slowly, that increases the odds of big totals and flash flooding.

Take a flash flood threat seriously. Flooding has claimed an average of 110 lives in the U.S. each year in the U.S., according to the National Weather Service. That's more than double the average killed from tornadoes and more than five times the number killed by lightning.

We have a full discussion of flood safety here. The key takeaways are:

-Know if you're in a flood-prone area and how to get to higher ground quickly.

-If your area is in a flood watch, be aware and ready in case flooding occurs.

-Never attempt to drive through a section of a flooded road or around barriers that signal a road closure. Over half of all flood deaths occur in vehicles.

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