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Typhoon Mawar Strikes Guam As Strongest Since 2002 | Weather.com
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Hurricane Safety and Preparedness

Typhoon Mawar Strikes Guam As Strongest, Closest To Hit U.S. Territory In 20 Years

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At a Glance

  • Guam has taken a direct strike from Typhoon Mawar.
  • The island is being battered by destructive winds, flooding rain and storm surge.
  • This is the strongest typhoon to pass so close to Guam since 2002.

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Typhoon Mawar has made a direct strike on the U.S. territory of Guam with destructive winds, flooding rain and storm surge in what is its strongest, closest strike in 20 years.

Here is what you need to know about this typhoon.

Where Mawar is now: T​he southern eyewall of Mawar is scraping across northern Guam right now, which means the island is in the thick of the typhoon's most intense winds, flooding rainfall and storm surge.

Maximum sustained winds in the typhoon were 140 mph as of the latest Joint Typhoon Warning Center advisory, making Mawar a strong Category 4 equivalent.

Winds up to 105 mph have been clocked at Guam's International Airport.

image

C​onditions in Guam should slowly improve late tonight, local time (Guam is 14 hours ahead of U.S. Eastern Daylight Time).

M​awar will likely remain a formidably intense typhoon after it leaves Guam, and could regain super typhoon status in the Philippine Sea in the next few days.

image
Forecast Path
(The red-shaded area denotes the potential path of the center of the tropical cyclone. Impacts (particularly heavy rain, high surf, coastal flooding, winds) with any tropical cyclone usually spread beyond its forecast path.)

We'll then have to watch when Mawar will curl to the northwest, then north, then northeast beginning early next week.

T​he later and less sharp the curve, the bigger the potential threat to the northern Philippines, Taiwan and Japan next week.

People in these areas should monitor this forecast in the days ahead and be prepared, in case it eventually becomes a threat.

S​trong typhoons are typical near Guam. According to NOAA's historical database, 14 typhoons of at least Category 4 intensity have tracked within 70 miles of Guam dating to 1949.

T​he last one to do so was Chaba, which hammered the northern Marianas, includlng Rota, Saipan and Tinian in late August 2004.

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M​awar is the strongest typhoon to pass so close to Guam since Super Typhoon Pongsona's center passed just east of Guam with 150 mph winds in December 2002. The island was hammered with wind gusts up to 173 mph.

Visible image from the Japanese GMS-5 satellite of Super Typhoon Pongsona as it hammered Guam and Rota Island on Dec. 8, 2002.
(UW-CIMSS via NOAA/NWS)

O​nly once since World War II has a super typhoon's center passed directly over Guam. That was Super Typhoon Karen, which did so on Nov. 12, 1962.

Peak wind gusts were estimated from 170 to 185 mph, estimated because all wind instruments failed during the peak of the storm.

Tracks of the 14 Category 4 or stronger typhoons that tracked within 70 miles of Guam since 1945. The track of Super Typhoon Karen from Nov. 1962 is highlighted.
(NOAA)

K​aren destroyed 95 percent of the homes on Guam, left 9,000 homeless and killed nine. Acting Gov. Manuel Guerrero described the devastation as "much more serious than that of 1944" when the U.S. recaptured the island from Japan. He also said the super typhoon had completely wiped out 17 years' worth of work and investments rebuilding after World War II.

S​ince then, Guam has taken considerable effort hardening its infrastructure. They've built more concrete-reinforced homes with concrete roofs able to withstand stronger winds. They've also erected reinforced concrete utility poles to diminish the number of poles downed by storms.

T​ropical storms and typhoons can happen any time of year near Guam, but roughly two-thirds of them happen during Guam's rainy season from August through November.

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Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been an incurable weather geek since a tornado narrowly missed his childhood home in Wisconsin at age 7. Follow him on Twitter and Facebook.

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

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