Atlantic System Likely To Become Hurricane Season's Next Storm | Weather.com
The Weather Channel

The system has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm soon, but remains far from land for now. It's long-term future track next week remains uncertain.

Update: NHC Watching 3 Areas In Atlantic

The chance for tropical development continues to increase as an area of low pressure in the eastern Atlantic becomes more organized, but its long-term future still packs some uncertainty.

Here's what we know and don't know.

Season's Next Depression Or Storm To Form Soon

Overview: An area of low pressure located west of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic is producing a persistent cluster of showers and storms. It's been tagged as Invest 97L by the National Hurricane Center. Systems are tagged in order to run specialized computer models to better determine the projected path and strength of the system. Here's more on what invests are.

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Only a slight increase in organization would allow for a tropical depression or storm to form and this could happen as early as Monday. The next tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin will be named Erin, followed by Fernand.

The possible area(s) of tropical development according to the latest National Hurricane Center outlook are shown by polygons, color-coded by the chance of development over the next seven days. An "X" indicates the location of a current disturbance. Any active storms are shown by a tropical storm symbol and its corresponding forecast path.

Tropical Development Potential

Future Track: This tropical system will steer generally westward through much of this week. It's likely to be centered to the northeast of the Caribbean islands by this weekend.

This weekend into early next week is when this system will begin to turn more to the north between a developing break in high pressure, as shown below. Where that turn occurs is still uncertain and will determine what, if any, land areas might see impacts next week.

For now, interests from Bermuda to the U.S. East Coast and Atlantic Canada should continue to monitor this system since it's too early to rule out any possible track scenarios next week.

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This system should be located north of the Caribbean islands this weekend. That's where it will encounter a developing break in high pressure, one over the Southeast U.S., and another east of Bermuda. That will allow this system to turn more northward, but exactly where that northward turn occurs is still uncertain.

What Else We Are Tracking: The National Hurricane Center is also tracking an area of low pressure in the central Atlantic and another one in the northwest Atlantic. Both have a low chance of development and neither are a threat to land.

(MORE: Hurricane Season's Main Event: Why August Typically Kicks Off The Atlantic's Most Active Time)