El Niño winter forecast: lake-effect snow and ice storm risk
Caitlin Kaiser
ByCaitlin KaiserandDaniel Connell•
2 days agoUpdated: October 15, 2026, 5:38 pm EDTPublished: October 15, 2026, 4:43 pm EDT

An El Niño winter means warmer than average temperatures for the Northern Tier, but that doesn't mean snow and ice are off the table. Lake-effect snow can intensify when warmer lake water meets cold air aloft without the usual ice cover to shut it down. Warmer temperatures also create heavier, wetter snow as well as dangerous freezing rain and ice. Here’s what you need to know.

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