Here’s Your July Temperature Outlook

Summer has officially begun, both meteorologically and astrologically speaking. But while much of the country is set to bake in hotter-than-average temperatures, parts of the Southeast and Southern Plains (looking at you, south Texas) are leaning a little bit cooler.

But the tradeoff is that many of those same areas are also shaping up to be wetter than average in terms of precipitation.

Here’s a look at what to expect in June, according to the latest outlook issued this week by Atmospheric G2 and The Weather Company.

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Temperature Highlights

-Heat Focused Across Northern Plains And Rockies: Heat is sticking around for the Central and Northern Rockies in July after a mostly warm June, but the heat is also spreading into the Northern Plains.

-Relief (Relatively) For The Southeast: The Southeast is going to be relatively cool this summer, meaning temperatures are going to lean cooler-than-average. But seeing as this is a region with highs that average in the 90s for July, cooler than average is still considered hot, and you can bet it will be plenty humid.

-Back And Forth For The Northeast: The Northeast is facing a roller-coaster summer for temperatures, with bursts of big heat interrupted by flashes of cooler Canadian air.

(15-min details: For even more granular weather data tracking in your area, view your 15-minute details forecast in our Premium Pro experience.)

Precipitation Highlights

-Wet Pattern Continues For Southeast: While the Southeast is getting a bit of a break from the heat, it will not be getting a break from the incessant rainy pattern that has brought days of heavy rain to the region in June, with another rainy month ahead for July.

-No Relief For The Northwest: Speaking of continuing patterns, ongoing drought conditions in the Northwest will continue as the region faces another dry month, although this is one of the driest times of the year.

-Active Monsoon In Southwest: July will kick off with a surge of moisture as the annual monsoon kicks into full gear, so wetter than average conditions are expected in Arizona.

(192 hours: Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, hour-by-hour breakdown for the next 8 days – only available on our Premium Pro experience.)

What July Highs Usually Look Like

-South: A large swath of the country from New Mexico to North Carolina typically sees highs in the 90s for July. Most of that region is trending either slightly above or slightly below average, but northern Texas, Oklahoma and parts of Kansas have the potential to be a scorcher.

-West: There’s a lot of variation in average highs for the western half of the country… High elevations in the Rockies have an average high in the 60s and even 50s for July, while parts of the Desert Southwest typically top out for the day above 110 degrees

-Northern Tier: From Montana to Virginia and northward to Maine, highs in July average in the 70s and 80s. The region is going to be warmer-than-average on the whole for the month, but that trend is strongest in Montana into the Dakotas, where 90- and 100-degree days will not be out of the question.

Sara Tonks is a content meteorologist with weather.com and has a bachelor’s and a master’s degree from Georgia Tech in Earth and Atmospheric Sciences along with a master’s degree from Unity Environmental University in Marine Science.