Caribbean, Gulf On Watch For Tropical Development By National Hurricane Center

T​ropical development is possible from the northwestern Caribbean Sea into the Gulf of Mexico later this week into next week. Parts of Florida and the Gulf Coast could see increased rainfall, regardless if development happens.

What we're watching: A broad area of low pressure is located from the western Caribbean Sea into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, according to the latest National Hurricane Center Outlook (NHC). It's producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity at this time.

W​hen it might develop: The NHC says conditions could be favorable for some gradual development of this system late this week or weekend as it gradually shifts into the Gulf of Mexico.

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What the U.S. Gulf Coast should know: Increased rainfall in Florida and along other parts of the Gulf Coast is one impact we will see by this weekend into next week, regardless of development.

It's still too soon to know if there will be any other impacts and what the timing might be. C​heck back with us at weather.com for updates in the coming days as the details come more into focus.

T​he western Caribbean and Gulf are typical areas for tropical development in October. Go to this link to see how hurricane season usually changes in the new month.