Tropical Storm Gabrielle Expected Today In Central Atlantic | Weather.com
The Weather Channel

The Atlantic Basin is finally waking up after an almost three-week slumber. After Gabrielle, we're watching another tropical wave for development. Here's the latest.

ByTiffany Savona and Jonathan Erdman3 hours ago

TD Seven Forms; Soon To Be Gabrielle

Tropical Storm Gabrielle will finally form later today in the central Atlantic, and is forecast to become a hurricane this weekend as the hurricane season finally awakens after a long peak-season slumber.

We're also watching another disturbance just beginning its journey near Africa.

Here's the latest.

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A New System

Tropical Depression Seven formed early Wednesday morning between the Lesser Antilles and Africa, almost 1,200 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands.

This new system is forecast to become Tropical Storm Gabrielle later today, the seventh named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.

Fortunately, for now, it appears Gabrielle will curl well to the north of the Leeward Islands this weekend. Some high surf, rip currents and perhaps some outer bands of showers are possible, there.

As previous systems, it will have to battle some hostile wind shear and dry air over the next several days, which should keep it from strengthening quickly.

The National Hurricane Center says it could find a better environment for strengthening this weekend, and could then become only the second hurricane of the Atlantic season. However, there are also some model forecasts suggesting Gabrielle could continue to struggle and even weaken this weekend.

(MORE: Didn't We Already Have 'Gabrielle'?)

The red-shaded area denotes the potential path of the center of the tropical cyclone. It's important to note that impacts (particularly heavy rain, high surf, coastal flooding, winds) with any tropical cyclone usually spread beyond its forecast path.

Current Status And Projected Path

Next Week Concerns?

It's too soon to tell if Gabrielle will be a significant threat to Bermuda early next week.

Fortunately, regardless of Gabrielle's intensity, this does not appear to be a mainland U.S. threat.

Either Gabrielle is expected to curl sharply northeast into the open North Atlantic later next week, or could spin down to a tropical wave somewhere in the Bermuda Triangle.

Check back with us at weather.com for the latest on this new system.

The Next System Is Coming Off Of Africa

The National Hurricane Center is also keeping an eye on a tropical wave near Africa in the far eastern Atlantic. For now, the chance of this tropical wave developing are low the next seven days, as it may have to battle the same hostile conditions that Gabrielle will face.

The possible area(s) of tropical development according to the latest National Hurricane Center outlook are shown by polygons, color-coded by the chance of development over the next seven days. An "X" indicates the location of a current disturbance. The forecast cone of an active tropical system is also shown.

NHC Development Chance

Even though we are past the statistical peak of hurricane season, it does not mean we can let our guard down yet. We still typically see the highest amount of tropical activity from mid-September through mid-October. Now is the time to make sure you have all of your supplies in order.

Tiffany Savona is a digital meteorologist for weather.com. She has 15+ years of experience tracking storms as a broadcast meteorologist across the country.